Several days ago, riots broke out amongst the refugees in the Colombian-Venezuelan border towns of Arauca and Cucuta. The chaos escalated to the point where confused troops on the border began firing on each other, leaving many civilians dead between them. Russia, which has greatly stepped up its local presence in order to prop up the Maduro government, has authorized its forces to assist the Venezuelan government in crushing the "hostile and dastardly" Colombian government forces, for whom Maduro blames for the crisis. The Russians have failed to heed our warnings to abandon the failing Venezuelan government, and the Colombians have called for aid in the face of the duel threat. It was hoped that the heavy build up of American forces in the area would diffuse the situation, but after a Russian fighter shot down a USAF C-17 filled with American soldiers bound for Colombia, the President has authorized us to remove the threat.
In the face of heavy Russian political pressure, Brazil, Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic have all denied the use of their airspace for overflights.
Repel all Venezuelan/Russian attacks on Colombia. Defeat the Russian Naval presence in the region, and render their airbases on La Orchilla island and La Chinita International Airport no longer effective in supporting the strikes. Priority targets include at least two Tu -160 Blackjack strategic bombers in the region in order to send a clear message.
Venezuela:
The Venezuelan Air Force consists of 20+ each of Su-30 and older F-16 aircraft. Air defenses include a number of S-300 missile batteries obtained from the Russians. The Venezuelan Navy does not appear to have put to sea, although this may change. Finally, large elements of the Venezuelan Army have been seen approaching the Colombian border near Arauca and Cucuta. It is unclear what their intentions are but troop formations are authorized targets in order to prevent further harm to the refugees in the area.
Russia:
In the past few weeks as the crisis developed, the Russian navy was able to send a sizable force to the region, primarily from the Baltic and Black Sea fleets. This includes the Admiral Kuznetsov carrier after the completion of emergency repairs in the face of the accident last year. We suspect this large force, which is quite taxing on the Russian defense capabilities, is meant to demonstrate to the world and Russian people that they are capable of fielding a global Naval presence, especially in the US back yard. Expect modern Frigates in addition to the Kuznetsov. Additionally, a large amount of transoceanic SSN traffic was detected, although recent storms have made it difficult to track their positions.
The Russians have staged a number of squadrons of fighters and fighter bombers, as well as support assets in Venezuela, centralized in their base on La Orchilla island, as well as the airport of La Chinita.
NAS Key West
Luis Munoz Marin International Airport (Puerto Rico)
Panama Pacifico International Airport (Panama)
Captain German Olano Moreno Airbase (Colombia)
Luis Munoz Marin International Airport (Puerto Rico)
Carrier Strike Group 10 (USN)
Littoral Combat Group 1 (USN)
Submarines (USN)
Colombia Allied
Air Force:
Escuadrón de Combate 111-116:
Escuadrón de Combate 211:
Escuadrón de Combate 119:
Command: USS Dwight D. Eisenhower
EMCON: Alpha-Limited Emissions